WASHINGTON – Love him or hate him, political pundit Dick Morris has looked at the presidential primary calendar and the number of delegates the winner will need, and has come up with a conclusion that makes sense.
Morris says that the presidential nominees for each party will likely have gained nearly half of the needed delegates before the primaries on March 15th. He says most primary voters don't understand the process and will woefully waste their votes on candidates that have no chance, and will be forced out numerically before even Illinois has a chance to pick its favorite.
Candidates, Morris says, like Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul and Rick Santorum will be irrelevant by March 15th. In The Hill, Morris wrote Tuesday:
So all the talk about when Bush or some other candidate will drop out is quite irrelevant. It doesn’t matter when reality dawns on them — they will be forced out by the math of the process in the month of March.
Unfortunately, the voters in the March 1 proportional threshold states may not understand all this, with many casting wasted ballots for candidates who have no chance of passing the threshold. In early March, this lack of understanding of how the process works will cost the two front-runners delegate votes, but the voters will soon catch on and vote primarily for one of the top two.
This will create a new dynamic in the GOP nominating process. Now, in a dozen-person beauty contest, we vote for who we like the best. But when it comes down to two candidates, many voters who may not have voted for Trump or Cruz as their first choice will have to choose the lesser of these two “evils.”
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