Reuters photo of Trump Rally in Pennsylvania Sunday night
By Nancy Thorner –
Larry Schweikart has a good summary of what is really happening in the 2020 election outside the “mainstream” polls, “experts” like Nate Silver and the rigged betting parlors, who are still totally oblivious to what is actually happening in the early vote in terms of party and demographics. Never mind the previous special elections of 2020, primary turn out, and party registration shifts.
“With 1,624,770 ballots cast, the GOP leads the early vote in Wisconsin. 43% GOP to 35% DEM. About 60% of the estimated total votes for 2020 have been cast.”
Now that the Democrats can't count absentee ballots days after the election, Wisconsin’s Democrat Governor is saying to bring absentee ballots in person, despite warnings by some of the Second Coming of the "Bubonic Plague", Covid-19.
Florida early voting shows Democrats leading by 116,051 or the same as they had in 2016. And we still have a few more days of early voting — as of the writing of this article on 10/31/2020 — and a lot more Democrats and Independents voting Republican than 2016, given the demographics and obvious change in Black and Hispanic voting patterns.
Yes, Florida won't even be close with a total Democrat disaster in Miami, which has 29 electoral votes. Miami is considered vital to Trump's reelection bid and a loss there would be a huge blow. But Biden is foundering with Cuban voters, a key Latino voting bloc in the state. According to the poll, Trump holds almost a 50-percentage point lead over Biden, 71% to 23% among Cuban voters.” (USA Today, 10/30).
“On Oct. 5, the Detroit City Clerk projected the city will count about 200,000 absentee ballots. Yesterday, the clerk said it now projects 165,000 ballots — 35,000 fewer than projected earlier. Overall voter turnout projected at 50%, said officials.” That's higher than 2016 but lower than 2012 and 2008. Detroit is less black than it was in 2016 and there will be more crossover blacks for Trump.
Absentee ballots are going Republican in Michigan. A top Michigan Democrat admits the auto workers are for Trump in Michigan. Trafalgar's latest poll that showed Trump up 2.5% might be a little low.
There is solid evidence that the American Indian vote is trending Trump.
The Navajo leader who spoke at the Republican convention is not alone. Arizona is going easily for Trump, despite those at predictit.org that keep ignoring the best pollsters of 2016 (Rasmussen and Traflgar) that have Trump up 4. New Mexico will also be close with its Indian population and this may also help Trump a little in Colorado and Nevada.
Headline in Arizona: “(Arizona) Dem Senate Candidate Kelly Wanted Ex-Wife Jailed Amid Custody Dispute. Court records contradict autobiographical claims of an ‘amicable’ divorce.” Drip, drip, drip, drip on Kelly.
Arizona Democrats barely won in the U.S. Senate race of 2018 despite a national wind at their back, yet the betting parlors are totally ignoring polls showing Trump and McSally ahead. Real Clear Politics polling averages is their god, easily manipulated by Bloomberg types rigging this state's betting odds.
Trump held 3 rallies on Saturday in Pennsylvania, 5 rallies on Sunday starting in Michigan and ending in Florida, and 5 rallies today starting in North Carolina and ending in Michigan.
As Trump said of the Rochester, MN rally, “Your far-left Dem Attorney General, and your Dem Governor tried to shut down our (Rochester) rally, silence the people of Minnesota, and take away your freedom of assembly. They thought we would cancel – but I said NO WAY, I will NEVER abandon the people of Minnesota!” 250 inside and 25,000 waiting to get in but denied entry— Trump did use his limousine to greet them and shake hands with a few of the outside crowd that listened to his speech. This petty gesture, trying to keep up the Covid hype, will not help in “Minnesota Nice”. Yes, Keith Ellison really said, "Trump is likely to take Minnesota thanks to Lefties like you."
Blue state Republicans were depressed in 2016, thinking Trump wasn't going to win. They were depressed by Russiagate and the tax increases of losing their state and local tax deductions from their federal income taxes. But now they have their whacky governors to protest vote against, as in California. And the knowledge that Trump and House Republicans can use their vote.
In Butler County, Pennsylvania, “Thousands of voters said they have never received their ballots. Nearly 40,000 registered voters in the county requested mail-in ballots, but only about 24 percent of them have been returned back to the county so far, authorities said. Butler County voted for President Donald Trump over Democrat rival Hillary Clinton in 2016 about 66 percent to 29 percent. The county is located north of Pittsburgh and has approximately 150,000 registered voters.”
Somebody was possibly bribed to help the Democrats. Hopefully voters will just go provisionally to vote in person, despite having an absentee ballot request on file. This is another example why an absentee ballot, except for those with solid reasons to be out of state, should never be issued.
A two-day election holiday over the weekend, no early voting, and paper ballots counted in precinct would take care of the fraud and all the excuses why people can't vote in person.
Biden/Harris Campaign
Following are some of Biden's gibberish on the trail: “I’ll lead an effective strategy to mobilize trunalimunumaprzure.” Biden is against America's trillionaires. “America is dead” in Iowa. Here Joe is being drowned out by Minnesota Trump supporters: Joe Biden gets angry, calls Minnesota Trump supporters "ugly."
No wonder Obama and Biden rallies must be made in secret locations, lest they be constantly embarrassed and overwhelmed by Trump supporters. Kamala is also a disaster in person.
Vote for Joe because Kamala will lead the Left Wing Charge, like getting rid of the Trump tax cuts. “Moderate” Republicans may have been disappointed in that tax cut that wasn't a tax cut for them, but they know Biden/Harris will wipe them out. “The party’s rising left sees Harris as the best hope for penetrating Joe Biden’s older, largely white inner circle. “People believe Biden when he says, ‘Black Lives Matter’ and ‘We need to address racism in our nation,’” Shropshire added. “But they also believe he’s old school, and in order to solve these problems we actually need newer, progressive ideas — and voices that actually have some experience, direct or indirect, with the problems we’re talking about.”
“Bernie Sanders says Democratic Party Has Become a 'Party of Coastal Elites'”. What better example of a stooge for West Coast elites than Kamala. This ticket is a disaster and all the lying polls and betting odds can't hide the fact that it isn't bringing out the Democrat base.
Computer vote flipping can't go too far lest the whole rigged game that keeps the Uniparty in power be exposed. Trump hating elites will have to go to another plan to stop Trump and his Deplorables.
Barron's has “Why Rising Wheat Prices Could End Badly”, but the seasonal play is wheat usually goes up into winter, and this winter will be very bad, especially after Christmas.
Food and fuel prices will be going up as the earth continues to cool down into a mini-Ice Age that will be obvious starting next year. Studies show that the Artic sea ice extent is greater than nearly any time in the last 10000 years. Following Trump's second term and another feeble increase in sun spots, we will really get cold starting around 2030.
A world loaded with debt and panicked elites desperate to bring us to a one world dictatorship will make everything much, much worse.
Addendum:
***What has been the main issue against Trump? He was the Covid killer. "Robert Cahaly, the chief pollster at Trafalger Group, the organization that correctly predicted Trump wins in Michigan and Wisconsin in 2016, was on with Maria Bartiromo on Sunday Morning Futures…
Robert Cahaly: “What we are seeing is a movement toward Trump with late breakers. We are also seeing folks that had initially given every indication that they were going to support Biden, or they were undecided moving toward Trump. And the issue we see moving on is the shutdowns. Even young people we’ve identified who don’t like the president. They like shutdowns even less. Even suburban women who said they have problems with the president, they like their children home and shutdowns even less."
***Most of the Democrats sitting in House seats that Trump took in 2016 are going down, plus many in California and elsewhere he didn't take but were close despite people either not voting President or third party in 2016. This site says there are 33 close House races. There could also be more than 40. Republicans only need about 20 seats minus one or two losses to get to the 17 they need to from a majority. A Republican House could be the biggest surprise of November 3rd, along with Trump very close or winning states few expect.
***Must give the Des Moines Register credit in giving the bad news to their liberal readers, even if they tried to delay as long as they could with no other polls for a month.
***"Pittsburgh Post-Gazette endorsed President Trump for reelection! The paper is very liberal and hasn’t endorsed a Republican for President in nearly 50 years." NO, they won't be able to steal enough in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh to give Biden Pennsylvania.
***Kamala Harris was introduced as "the next PRESIDENT of the United States." They aren't even trying to hide it!
***Des Moines Register finally admits the truth just before the election. Trump and Ernst are cruising to victory.
***Republicans to take back two U.S. House seats in Iowa.
